Thursday 19 July 2012

ZOPA v Savings Accounts

ZOPA v Savings accounts

Estimated returns over time on ZOPA & other savings accounts

A bit about ZOPA & me to start;  
ZOPA was established 7 years ago in March 2005, ZOPA's explanation of how it works is: "People put money in. Borrowers borrow money. Everyone is happy."  This may sound very simplistic but it's fairly accurate. 
I have been saving with ZOPA, in a small way since 2007. I generally blog about saving (investing) smaller amounts of money in simple & safe or very safe ways, for the medium & long term.


ZOPA explains how it all works on their web site, in a much better way than I can do in this post, so if you want more details about them click here. If you want more background on the history and detail of Social Lending or Person-to-Person (P2) lending then Wikipedia also has a great article which includes other organisations. As of July 2012 there are around 35 competitor peer-to-peer lenders set-up around the world.

Why 'risk' money in ZOPA or anything else for that matter?

This is a bit about personal choice & of course the amount of money you have to save. I would suggest that your money is at some risk wherever it is. If it's in a high street bank or building society account then the risk is very low but there still is a risk. A low risk almost always means very little reward, so you will only get a low rate of interest on these accounts. My personal attitude to saving, or 'investment' to use a different term, is that I'm prepared to accept a small amount of risk to get a reasonable return over time. 
Interest rates are really important over longer periods of time because of the effect of compound interest. You could of course keep your cash under your mattress (apart that it might get stolen) but then you are actually losing money over time because;
"Except for rare periods of significant deflation where the opposite may be true, a pound (£) in cash is worth less today than it was yesterday, and worth more today than it will be worth tomorrow." (Source: Wikipedia; Rate of Return)
So, what I'm looking for is a reasonable rate of return (interest rate) for the lowest possible risk as I don't really want to lose my money :) Therefore I would prefer to protect most of my capital (like it is in a savings account) rather than for example invest in the stock market when my capital isn't protected.


So that's enough background time to look at some of the data that I've researched on long term Interest rates from UK savings accounts and what ZOPA has to offer.

Interest Rates

In short; even when the unusually high interest rates that were on offer during the late 80's & early 90's are included ZOPA's average return is still slightly higher than savings accounts. This is especially true now (July 2012) when general interest rates are at historical lows & looking to stay that way for a long time yet.


Looking at rates from March 2003, when ZOPA started, ZOPA's return is; 2.7 % higher than the best on offer from UK savings accounts. If you just look at the last three years, since the start of the economic troubles, then it's a slightly better return from ZOPA which is; 2.9% higher than savings accounts. You may think that 2.9% doesn't sound like much, maybe not worth the hassle? But according to Einstein; “The most powerful force in the universe is compound interest.” So over a few years 'compound interest' makes a difference, in fact it can make a lot of difference. For example if you had £1000 invested over 10 or more years:




Years Investment Highest Lowest ZOPA 3Yr Avg 3Yr
10 £1,000.00 £3,782.70 £1,311.65 £1,740.80 £1,313.78
The last two cells above (ZOPA 3yr & Avg 3yr)  show the difference that even a small percentage of 2.93% can make over a period of 10 years, in this case you would be £427.02 richer with your money invested in ZOPA.

Looking at the same investment amount of £1000 but over much longer terms of say 20 or even 50 years, which are the typical saving periods for a child's University fees or for retirement:
Years Investment Highest Lowest ZOPA 3Yr Avg 3Yr
20 £1,000.00 £14,308.81 £1,720.43 £3,030.39 £1,726.02
50 £1,000.00 £774,477.56 £3,882.32 £15,986.35 £3,913.93
As you can see the effects of compound interest real kick in here with some very, very large differences appearing over time. Of course it would be almost impossible to sustain the highest interest rates over a period of 50 years but if you could do it, you would be very rich indeed. What I think this shows and I hope you agree, is that a small percentage increase can make a big difference over time so it's worth shopping around for the best interest rate on offer for your money. (I'll do another post looking at a more typical situation where you save small amounts regularly over time, rather than starting with a lump sum.)



One thing to think about here is that the reverse is true of your mortgage or other longer term borrowing. The longer you have it and the higher the interest rate (even a little higher) can make a big difference, so paying your mortgage off early can literally save you thousands of pounds. Especially if your mortgage interest rate is higher than your savings interest then it may make sense to use your savings to pay off your mortgage early .

There is some small print I ant to make you aware of here with ZOPA: If you sign up to ZOPA through the links on this and other pages in this blog then they might pay me an introduction fee of £50.00 (Woo! Every penny helps especially if they are compounded up over many, many years :)  This won't cost you anything at all and it helps me keep the blog going. The T&C's are available here but basically: "each existing Zopa member who introduces another person to Zopa will receive £50 when that person either lends at least £2000, or borrows any amount of money, at Zopa during the Offer Period, provided that this person has signed up via the existing member's referral page supplied by us to you."

Wednesday 18 July 2012

A quick intro & tour of Compound Interest

Compound Interest

A quick tour, of what is according to Einstein; “The most powerful force in the universe.”

If you are ever hoping to retire with a reasonable amount of savings or pension pot, then it's really useful to understand the basics of how this works, because over time it can make a very big difference to the amount your savings increase. Please don't be scared off by the idea that this is about maths... It's actually about how to get rich slowly :)

Compound interest arises when interest is added to the principal, so that, from that moment on, the interest that has been added also earns interest. This addition of interest to the principal is called compounding. As you can see from the graph below the more frequent your interest is calculated and paid out, the quicker your savings grow. So four identical savings accounts all paying the same interest rate will not produce identical returns. The frequency of interest payment will make a substantial difference over time.

The effect of earning 20% annual interest on an initial 1,000 investment at various compounding frequencies

Looked at in another way you can say that Compound interest is the amount that a pound (or Dollar, Euro etc) invested now will be worth in a given number of periods at a given compounded interest rate per period. 

I've created some examples in Microsoft Excel to show how this works, which compare the returns available from ZOPA against the best savings accounts available, which I'll share in a future blog post. 

Excel does not include a function for determining compound interest, but you can use the following formula:
=PV*(1+R)^N
where PV is present value, R is the interest rate, and N is the number of investment periods. 

Windows Home Sever 2011 - The hard way

How not to Install Windows Home Server 2011
Part 1 - Background
We have been using a server at home for storing all our documents, pictures, videos etc for about 10 years. We switched to using Microsoft WHS when it first came out in 2007, partly because of it's ability to create one big folder (to store all your info in) by merging together several smaller Hard Disks. As we had a few spare HD's kicking about this saved some cash, so we just tbought a new barebones kit. I've added to and upgraded the Hard Disks over time but the case is now full & we are totally out of storage space again. As the original WHS software is only 32bit & a new version; WHS 2011 is available for only £30 it seems the right time for a major software overhaul and hardware upgrade. Easy I thought, buy some new big hard disks, install WHS 2011, copy all the data across and Bob's your uncle! 


Not quite that easy unfortunately. As I have found out the hard way how to upgrade I thought I'd share my experiences, so if you are thinking of upgrading you can avoid some of the issues I have discovered by research before hand or through falling into during the process. 




I hope this is useful if not amusing to somebody :)

Monday 2 July 2012

Update on ZOPA


Updated Info & facts about  ZOPA

I've mostly taken this from the ZOPA web site and updated with various info found on the net.

What is ZOPA?
The world's first online marketplace where people meet to lend and borrow money. Lenders get great returns and borrowers get low-cost loans. With no bank in the middle, both parties get better rates.

Key Facts

1.             Launched in March 2005, Zopa was the very first online 'peer-to-peer' lending marketplace anywhere in the world – a true UK innovation in the dotcom world normally dominated by the USA.
2.             Zopa has around half a million members who have now lent more than £218 million between each other, all at rates they have agreed between themselves.
3.             There are now more than 35 competitor peer-to-peer lenders set up around the world.

Briefly, how does peer to peer lending at Zopa work?

4.             Ordinary individuals bypass the banks and lend to other ordinary people at rates they agree between themselves. With no bankers or the very big spreads they charge (between the rate they lend at versus the rate they pay savers) involved, both borrower and lender gets a much better deal than they do from the banks.

What's in it for consumers?

5.             Lenders are enjoying a smart way of getting a return, alongside their savings and investments. The average return on all money lent over the last year is 5.5% pa (after charges and actual average annualized defaults, over last 12 months).
6.             Borrowers are finding it a fair and human way of getting a low-cost loan. They are enjoying market-leading rates, with a typical APR currently of around 7.4% (based on £5,000 over 3 years across all Zopa markets), and the flexibility to repay their loan early at no extra cost.

Risks are kept to a minimum

7.             To protect lenders' money, Zopa uses all the safety measures banks use, plus a few more. All borrowers are identity-checked, credit scored and risk-assessed, and lenders' money is lent out in small chunks of £10 to Zopa borrowers to spread any risk of default.

Charges are clear, simple and low

8.             Zopa runs a simple and transparent charging model: lenders pay an annual fee of 1% on the money they lend, and borrowers pay a fixed fee which is added to their loan and reflected in the APR figures quoted. There are no hidden charges or any form of early repayment fee.

Wednesday 13 June 2012

Peer to Peer Lending (P2P)

Some Peer to Peer Facts

Searching on Google for "Peer to Peer lending" finds - About 540,000 results;(0.43 seconds)


According to the June 2012, FT article 'Peer-to-peer lending: Model takes off Worldwide'; UK Peer to Peer lenders will loan around £200m in 2012 alone. This is a big jump as in the UK the total lent so far by the three largest players; ZOPA, Ratesetter & Funding Circle is £250m. This boost comes from a Government pldege to support the P2P industry with £100m.
In the US P2P industry has loaned over $1bn.


P2P lending is now regularly included by loan comparison sites such as moneysupermarket.com. Press coverage has grown rapidly since the start of the financial crisis with micro-lending, P2P & individual lenders being  regularly covered by the mainstream media and financial press. 


Not bad for something which didn't really exist until early in the new millennium.

Wednesday 15 September 2010

Virtual Worlds Conference 2010

Collection of web links from the conference, this is just a partial list, in no particular order, of the many links passed around during the various speakers talks. If I get chance I'll do a short summary of each link.


http://www.thevirtualworldconference.org/?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rcfNC_x0VvE
http://worlds.ruc.dk/
http://warburton.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/2008/01/28/empathydiagramv5_2.jpg?
http://www.google.co.uk/search?hl=en&q=proteus+effect&meta=
http://virtualworldwatch.net/snapshots/zen-and-the-art-of-avatar-maintenance-may-2010/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/virtualworldconference/4992827065/
http://www.hypergridbusiness.com/?


http://davidgagnon.wordpress.com/2010/08/16/educational-transfer-two-lessons-from-virtual-worlds/
http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/66169/
http://caledonianblogs.net/soh-secondlife/
http://www.vastpark.com/
http://mcs.open.ac.uk/sm577/
http://www.miltonbroome.com/
http://www.incubatorisland.com/id16.htm
http://work.secondlife.com/en-US/successstories/case/tuvnord/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qLvL2bRG4M0


http://elearningproject.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=71:adventure&catid=38:fp-rokstories
http://www.thewalkinweb.com/
http://www.personalizemedia.com/16-top-augmented-reality-business-models/?


http://www.gebb.de/
http://support.dreamseekerestates.com/home
http://www.bessacarr.com/


Augmented Reality
http://www.layar.com/
http://www.metaio.com/